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Papers
Encoding resource experience for predictive process monitoring
- Date of publication
- 2021.10.06
- Issuing agency (Year)
- Decision Support Systems(2021)
- Author
- Jongchan Kim, Marco Comuzzi, Marlon Dumas, Fabrizio Maria Maggi, Irene Teinemaa
- Link
- https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0167923621001792
Abstract
Events recorded during the execution of a business process can be used to train models to predict, at run-time, the
outcome of each execution of the process (a.k.a. case). In this setting, the outcome of a case may refer to whether
a given case led to a customer complaint or not, or to a product return or other claims, or whether a case was
completed on time or not. Existing approaches to train such predictive models do not take into account infor-
mation about the prior experience of the (human) resources assigned to each task in the process. Instead, these
approaches simply encode the resource who performs each task as a categorical (possibly one-hot encoded)
feature. Yet, the experience of the resources involved in the execution of a case may clearly have an impact on the
case outcome. For example, specialized resources or resources who are familiar with a given type of case, are
more likely to execute the tasks in a case faster and more effectively, leading to a higher probability of a positive
outcome. Motivated by this observation, this article proposes and evaluates a framework to extract features from
event logs that capture the experience of the resources involved in a business process. The framework exploits
traditional principles from the literature to capture resource experience, such as experiential learning and social
ties on the workplace. The proposed framework is evaluated by comparing the performance of state-of-the-art
predictive models trained with and without the proposed resource experience features, using publicly avail-
able event logs. The results show that the proposed resource experience features may improve the accuracy of
predictive models, but that depends on the process execution context, such as the type of process generating an
event log or the type of label that is predicted.